39 forecasters

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?

community

583

result

560

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Mar 14, 2021

Resolved:

Jan 19, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 16, 2021

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

2021 Leaderboard

Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

111 forecasters

How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?