🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the number of new confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?

Resolved :1.06M1.69M
8
2
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction1.69M (1.51M - 1.86M)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3.4M
...
...
...
...
1.513M
1.687M
1.863M
0.2%

What was the final result?1.06M

Community Baseline Score
-27.2
Community Peer Score
20.0
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2021 Leaderboard
Johns Hopkins University
Public health
United States
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Epidemiology

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