63 comments
267 forecasters
Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before inauguration day?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 6, 2021
Closes:Jan 15, 2021
Resolved:Jan 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 6, 2021
If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?
68 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
24% chance
50
Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?
22% chance
50