🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will Trump's approval rating be on 18-Jan-2021?

Resolved :38.837.2
12
32
Total Forecasters120
Community Prediction37.2 (35.4 - 38.8)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
35.36
37.23
38.81

What was the final result?38.8

Community Baseline Score
112.4
Community Peer Score
12.2
Authors:
kjz
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2021 Leaderboard
United States Capitol
2020 US presidential election
Donald Trump

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