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32 comments
120 forecasters

What will Trump's approval rating be on 18-Jan-2021?

community
37.2
result
38.8
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
kjz
Opened:Jan 6, 2021
Closes:Jan 17, 2021
Resolved:Jan 19, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 7, 2021
🏆 2021 Leaderboard
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Nate Silver Pinpoints ‘Pretty Unusual’ Shift in Trump’s Approval Rating
Newsweek•Oct 16, 2025
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Trump sinks underwater in every swing state in new polling
Raw Story•Oct 15, 2025
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Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Rises With Older Americans, Women
Newsweek•Oct 15, 2025
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What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?

-10.7
(-14.1 - -7.2)
-10.7
(-14.1 - -7.2)
144 forecasters

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

1% chance
2.1k

Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?

23% chance
52
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