Question
How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
76 presidents
(52.9 presidents - 122 presidents)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 52.92 | — |
median | 75.98 | — |
upper 75% | 121.8 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>1000 | 1.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021
When will the U.S. next have a President who serves two consecutive terms?
What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?
64.5
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021
When will the U.S. next have a President who serves two consecutive terms?
What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?
64.5
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40%