Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
13
comments
48
forecasters
What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?
community
87
result
88.3
Share
Comments
Timeline
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Jan 14, 2021
Closes:
Mar 13, 2021
Resolved:
Mar 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:
Jan 15, 2021
Forecasting AI Progress
AI Technical Benchmarks
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Artificial Intelligence
🏆 2021 Leaderboard
Similar Questions
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
December 14, 2024
91.9
December 14, 2026
93.6
78
forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
58.8%
(39.2 - 68)
58.8%
(39.2 - 68)
24
forecasters
When will an AI system achieve a score of at least 85% on the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) benchmark?
20 Jul 2026
(20 Jan 2026 - 24 Jul 2028)
20 Jul 2026
(20 Jan 2026 - 24 Jul 2028)
19
forecasters
Show More Questions