Question

Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?

Resolved:No

22 comments22

Total Forecasters167

Community Prediction

(1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.0

Community Peer Score

18.6

Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Jan 10, 2021

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolves:

Jun 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 10, 2021

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

815

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Jan 10, 2021

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolves:

Jun 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 10, 2021

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

815

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%