22 comments
167 forecasters
Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolved:Jun 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 10, 2021
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters
What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?
815 per 100,000
(590 - 1025)
815 per 100,000
(590 - 1025)
9 forecasters
Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?
16% chance
14