58 forecasters

When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500?

community

21 May 2021

result

20 May 2021

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2022

Resolved:

May 29, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 16, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

In 2024, COVID dropped from the list of top 10 causes of death in U.S.

NPR Online News•Sep 11, 2025

U.S. death rate drops to lowest level since 2020 with COVID no longer a leading cause

CBS•Sep 10, 2025

US death rate dropped back to pre-Covid levels in 2024, CDC report says

CNN•Sep 10, 2025

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