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35
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35 forecasters
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
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What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for November 2021, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?
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US Semiconductor fab capacity Jan 2030
Current estimate
439
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US Semiconductor Capacity in Jan 2030
Current estimate
382
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What will be the Labor Productivity value for the "Information" sector Q4 2028?
Current estimate
186 productivity
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Change in Energy Transition Metal Index
1 comment
130 forecasters
What percent of US GDP will come from manufacturing in the first half of 2028?
Current estimate
9.55%
14 comments
47 forecasters
Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack
10k / month
6%
30k / month
7%
300k / year
4.7%
1M / year
4%
3M / year
1%
7 comments
68 forecasters
Chinese foundry with ≥20% of semi market?
53%
chance
1 comment
7 forecasters
Will the June 2026 U of MI Consumer Sentiment # be > than it was for May 2026?
50%
chance