47 comments
152 forecasters
Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?
57%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 57% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2021
Closes:Jun 1, 2021
Resolved:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 19, 2021
Will the Department of Justice indict a high-profile individual from the opposing party to the U.S. president in the following years?
7 forecasters
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
11% chance
155