12 comments
49 forecasters
How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?
Latest estimate
110k
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closed:Mar 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 13, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021
How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?
5 forecasters
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
69% chance
134
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
929k B
(180k - 8.03M)
929k B
(180k - 8.03M)
51 forecasters