50 comments
149 forecasters
[short fuse] Will Trump be impeached and convicted by the Senate in 2021?
33%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 33% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jan 15, 2021
Closes:Jan 19, 2021
Resolved:Feb 14, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021
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Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?
18% chance
442
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
802
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
28 Oct 2029
(06 Sep 2028 - 22 Nov 2029)
28 Oct 2029
(06 Sep 2028 - 22 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters