47 comments
210 forecasters
Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolved:Nov 25, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021