Question

Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?

Resolved:No

24 comments24

Total Forecasters218

Community Prediction

(1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

30.5

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Feb 11, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 12, 2021

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Politico: Donors Not Enthused About Potential Harris Run for Governor

Breitbart•Jun 29, 2025

Kamala's comeback bid sparks Democrat donor meltdown amid fears she'll sink party in California

Daily Mail•Jun 29, 2025

Is This the Beginning of the End for Kamala Harris’s Political Career?

PJ Media•Jun 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Feb 11, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 12, 2021

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Politico: Donors Not Enthused About Potential Harris Run for Governor

Breitbart•Jun 29, 2025

Kamala's comeback bid sparks Democrat donor meltdown amid fears she'll sink party in California

Daily Mail•Jun 29, 2025

Is This the Beginning of the End for Kamala Harris’s Political Career?

PJ Media•Jun 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%