Question
When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters90
Community Prediction
06 Nov 2022
(14 Jul 2022 - >31 Dec 2022 00:00)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 Jul 2022 | — |
| median | 06 Nov 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | >31 Dec 2022 00:00 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2022 00:00 | 38.6% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
19.0
Community Peer Score
107.0
Authors:
Opened:Jan 22, 2021
Closes:Jan 28, 2022
Resolves:Jan 6, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 24, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 22, 2021
Closes:Jan 28, 2022
Resolves:Jan 6, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 24, 2021