4 comments
37 forecasters
How many countries will allow 17 year olds to vote in 2026?
Latest estimate
15.8
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2021
Closed:Jun 30, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 25, 2021
When, if ever, will 17 year olds vote in the US?
Apr 2055
(Dec 2044 - >Dec 2059)
Apr 2055
(Dec 2044 - >Dec 2059)
35 forecasters
Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
82% chance
57
How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?
59.6 countries
(31.3 - 82.7)
59.6 countries
(31.3 - 82.7)
30 forecasters