Question

Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters728
Community Prediction
95%
(87% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
22.0
Community Peer Score
14.2
Opened:Feb 14, 2021
Closes:Nov 1, 2024
Resolves:Nov 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 14, 2021