Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Your essay is now in Draft mode

Once you submit your essay, it will be available to judges for review and you can no longer edit it. Please make sure to review eligibility criteria before submitting. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review by judges.

2025 Price of a Crunchwrap Supreme?

Question

Joe Biden has signaled that he intends to increase the minimum wage (see related Metaculus question here). People have been arguing over whether this will increase prices, and a popular meme on the internet has been about the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme.

The current price, per the Taco Bell website in Westfield, Indiana (where the minimum wage is currently the federal minimum of $7.25), is $3.79.

What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025?

On 1 January 2025, this URL will be consulted: https://www.tacobell.com/food/specialties/cru…

If the store / price location is not relative to Westfield, Indiana, it will be set to be Westfield, Indiana.

The price on that site will be used as resolution. The price will not be adjusted for inflation. In the case of any promotions or sales, the regular price will be used for resolution, if this is known. If not, the on-sale price will be used, without any discount codes, combos or coupons.

If that URL is not available, another page on the Taco Bell website showing the price of a Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana may be used. If multiple competing prices are available using this method, the question will resolve ambiguous.

If there is no Taco Bell in Westfield or the minimum wage in that area is greater than the federal minimum wage at the time of the resolution of this question, the closest Taco Bell will be selected where the federal minimum wage is in effect.

[edit note] Sylvain 2021-05-31 removed:

If a search of the Taco Bell website does not show the price of a Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana (maybe because the Crunchwrap Supreme is discontinued or there are no longer Taco Bell locations in Westfield, Indiana), this question will resolve ambiguous.

[edit note] Sylvain 2021-05-31 added :

If there is no Taco Bell in Westfield or the minimum wage in that area is greater than the federal minimum wage at the time of the resolution of this question, the closest Taco Bell will be selected where the federal minimum wage is in effect.

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

This question is not yet open for predictions.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.

Metaculus help: Predicting

Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.

The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.

The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ.

Thanks for predicting!

Your prediction has been recorded anonymously.

Want to track your predictions, earn points, and hone your forecasting skills? Create an account today!

Track your predictions
Continue exploring the site