Question

Will Bill Gates fund a brain-computer interface company before 2031?

Resolved:Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction

20%

(15% - 34%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

2.2

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Jun 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 6, 2021

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Technology

Computing and Math

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Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

80%

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Jun 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 6, 2021

Natural Sciences

Technology

Computing and Math

Bill Gates' net worth plummets $51BILLION in ONE WEEK after a single decision

Daily Mail•Jul 12, 2025

Fifth paralyzed patient implanted with Elon Musk-backed Neuralink chip that allows brain to control smartphone

New York Post•Jul 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

Oct 2034

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

Feb 2037

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

80%