25 comments
69 forecasters
Will Bill Gates fund a brain-computer interface company before 2031?
20%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Resolved:Dec 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2021
When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2029 - Mar 2045)
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2029 - Mar 2045)
86 forecasters
When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?
Mar 2037
(15 Sep 2030 - >Dec 2040)
Mar 2037
(15 Sep 2030 - >Dec 2040)
168 forecasters
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?
75% chance
297