Question

Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters255
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
74.1
Community Peer Score
15.6
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:May 2, 2024
Resolves:May 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021