Question

In the March 2021 Knesset election, will Likud win a plurality of seats?

Resolved:Yes

12 comments12

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction

83%

(80% - 92%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 83%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

71.6

Community Peer Score

1.7

Authors:

danohu

Opened:

Jan 28, 2021

Closes:

Mar 21, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 24, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 28, 2021

Elections

2021 Leaderboard

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

84%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

57%

Will the National Party win more seats than the Liberal Party in an election for the Australian House of Representatives before 2035?

20%

Authors:

danohu

Opened:

Jan 28, 2021

Closes:

Mar 21, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 24, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 28, 2021

Elections

2021 Leaderboard

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

84%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

57%

Will the National Party win more seats than the Liberal Party in an election for the Australian House of Representatives before 2035?

20%