Question

When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?

Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction
2090
(Mar 2061 - >2100)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Mar 2061
median2090
upper 75%>2100
Upper bound
>210037.7%
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 4, 2021