🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will the total retail sales including food services be for March 2021?

Resolved :Above upper bound590k
2
10
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction590k (572k - 600k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<500k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>600k
...
...
...
...
...
0.9%
572k
590.5k
>600k
32.1%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
22.9
Community Peer Score
33.0
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2021 Leaderboard
US Census Bureau
Retail
Foodservice

Comments

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