🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will WeRide begin testing their autonomous and fully driverless taxis in California?

Resolved :Apr 12, 20212025-06-15
1
2
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction2025-06-15 (2021-07-14 - 2025-12-30)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
<2021-02-28
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2025-12-30
...
...
...
...
...
7.4%
2021-07-14 13:39
2025-06-15 05:57
>2025-12-30 00:00
37.5%

What was the final result?Apr 12, 2021

Community Baseline Score
-19.3
Community Peer Score
6.3
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2021 Leaderboard
California Public Utilities Commission
Robo-Taxi
Silicon Valley
California
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Guangzhou

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