65 forecasters

Will the U.S Federal Reserve achieve its new average inflation targeting policy goal?

56%chance

56%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 56% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 13, 2021

Closes:

Jun 30, 2021

Resolved:

Jul 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 15, 2021

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

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USA Today•Sep 17, 2025

Fed, under pressure to cut rates, tries to balance labor market and inflation – while avoiding dreaded stagflation

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Fed faces economic uncertainty and political pressure ahead of interest rate decision

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