62 comments
331 forecasters
By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?
95%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 95% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 11, 2021
Closes:Nov 16, 2023
Resolved:Apr 25, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 13, 2021
What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?
64.6 years
(59.5 - 70.2)
64.6 years
(59.5 - 70.2)
28 forecasters
If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?
68 forecasters
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40% chance
82