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Will Joe Biden run for reelection?

When President Biden assumed office, he was 78 years old, older than Ronald Reagan when he left office, and 22 years older than the median age of a POTUS since 1960.

Of the 45 individuals who have served as president, 6 have chosen not to run for reelection to a 2nd full term: LBJ, James Polk, James Buchanan, Rutherford B. Hayes, Calvin Coolidge, and Harry S. Truman.

By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?

Resolves as positive if Biden files a Statement of Candidacy or a Statement of Organization of an exploratory committee for the office of president with the Federal Election Commission with respect to the 2024 cycle by 2023-11-15.

If there is no such filing by the closing date, this resolves as negative.


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Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

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