47 comments
165 forecasters
Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?
3%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 3% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 4, 2021
Closes:Aug 31, 2021
Resolved:Jan 2, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 5, 2021
Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?
20% chance
448
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5% chance
132
Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?
10% chance
22