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    US COVID-19 hospitalizations under 30k

    Created by taskaryan on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}.
    Community prediction hidden until {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_period_ends_time | dateStr}}
    Published by taskaryan on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}.
    Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

    Question

    According to the COVID Tracking Project, the number of people in the US hospitalized with COVID-19 has remained above 30k for almost the entirety of the period starting on April 3, 2020 (when that level was first exceeded) up to the posting of this question.

    As of the posting of this question, US hospitalizations are declining, having peaked at ~130k in early January 2021 and fallen below 100k by the end of January 2021.

    On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?

    https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/us-all-…

    Resolves to the earliest date on which "Currently Hospitalized" at the linked page is below 30,000 (raw figure, not 7-day avg.).

    If the covid tracking project is no longer updated, the University of Minnesota hospitalization tracker will be the definitive source.

    Categories:
    Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19)

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