33 forecasters

Will the use of whips be banned on or before the 2026 Melbourne Cup thoroughbred horse race?

45%chance

10 points

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 8, 2021

Closes:

Nov 8, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 8, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 10, 2021

Sports & Entertainment

Australians still betting big on Melbourne Cup, despite many saying they’re losing interest in race

Guardian•Nov 3, 2025

At least 174 racehorses died from racing or training injuries in past 12 months in Australia, report finds

Guardian•Oct 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch