🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the total number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)?

Resolved :42.5k45.6k
3
7
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction45.6k (36.7k - 54.2k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>200k
...
...
...
...
36.72k
45.57k
54.2k
0.1%

What was the final result?42.5k

Community Baseline Score
79.3
Community Peer Score
5.3
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Johns Hopkins University
United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
US Department of Health and Human Services

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