295 forecasters

Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?

4%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 4% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 17, 2018

Closes:

Jul 21, 2019

Resolved:

Aug 2, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 18, 2018