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23
295
forecasters
50
23 comments
295 forecasters
Technology
2 more...
Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?
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48%
At least one person
4%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
1.6%
Elon Musk
0.1%
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3%
chance
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Current estimate
21 Sep 2028
20 comments
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Current estimate
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3 comments
24 forecasters
Will Starliner be canceled?
47%
chance
14 comments
47 forecasters
Humans sent to Mars before 2036?
15%
chance