Question

When will a SpaceX Starship upper stage successfully land?

Resolved:03 Mar 2021 21:00
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction
06 Mar 2021 00:51
(28 Feb 2021 09:01 - 16 Mar 2021)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%28 Feb 2021 09:01
median06 Mar 2021 00:51
upper 75%16 Mar 2021
Upper bound
>30 Jun 20220.2%

What was the final result?03 Mar 2021 21:00

Community Baseline Score
4.5
Community Peer Score
1.2
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2022
Resolves:Jul 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 11, 2021