🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 2021–03-07?

Resolved :34
6
4
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction4 (3.07 - 4.97)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>8
...
...
...
...
3.069
4.002
4.974
1.4%

What was the final result?3

Community Baseline Score
120.0
Community Peer Score
24.3
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virology
United Kingdom
Geography
Public health
COVID-19
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
Brazil
History

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