5 comments
37 forecasters
Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Feb 8, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 14, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 10, 2021
When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?
Mar 2034
(29 Jul 2030 - Dec 2037)
Mar 2034
(29 Jul 2030 - Dec 2037)
2 forecasters
Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?
75% chance
84
When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?
Sep 2043
(Jun 2037 - Jan 2048)
Sep 2043
(Jun 2037 - Jan 2048)
12 forecasters