Question

Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction

73%

(65% - 79%)

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50%

community: 73%

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Authors:

finback

Opened:

Feb 22, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 23, 2021

Ancestry-informative marker

DNA sequencing

When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?

17 Jun 2028

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

Mar 2057

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?

76%

Authors:

finback

Opened:

Feb 22, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 23, 2021

Ancestry-informative marker

DNA sequencing

When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?

17 Jun 2028

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

Mar 2057

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?

76%