Question
When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters65
Community Prediction
>31 Dec 2021 00:00
(>31 Dec 2021 00:00 - >31 Dec 2021 00:00)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >31 Dec 2021 00:00 | — |
| median | >31 Dec 2021 00:00 | — |
| upper 75% | >31 Dec 2021 00:00 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2021 00:00 | 91.0% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
61.8
Community Peer Score
116.3
Authors:
Opened:Feb 4, 2021
Closes:Dec 10, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 5, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 4, 2021
Closes:Dec 10, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 5, 2021