32 comments
176 forecasters
Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026?
42%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 15, 2021
Closed:Jan 1, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 16, 2021
What volatility will BTC realize from January 1, 2025 to December 31, 2026?
2.36%
(1.84 - 3.07)
2.36%
(1.84 - 3.07)
25 forecasters
What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?
1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
27 forecasters
Will Bitcoin’s price drop below 50% of its highest recorded price at any point before 2040?
90% chance
30