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31 forecasters
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
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How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?
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18 forecasters
When will peak Deep Learning be?
Current estimate
06 Dec 2029
0 comments
7 forecasters
Scientific Articles Published
8 comments
30 forecasters
Highest GPQA Diamond Score 2024 to 2027
9 comments
78 forecasters
SOTA on ImageNet Top-1 Accuracy
24 comments
98 forecasters
Greatest Computation Used in AI Training
1 comment
11 forecasters
Share of AI Publications from China
Current estimate
48.2%
2 comments
118 forecasters
AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
63%
chance
10 comments
41 forecasters
Number of New Leading AI Labs
0 or 1
49.8%
2 or 3
32.9%
4 or 5
11.9%
6 or 7
3.2%
2 others