113 forecasters

Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?

53%chance

53%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 53% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 30, 2021

Closes:

Oct 2, 2021

Resolved:

Jan 2, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 2, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

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When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

(May 2033 - 2121)

(May 2033 - 2121)

109 forecasters