Question
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
    •

    • Your submission is now a Draft.

    Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

    Pending

    This question now needs to be approved by community moderators.

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    It now needs to be approved by community moderators. Thanks for helping!

    Astral Codex Ten mentions this Question

    Created by AABoyles and
    co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}
    on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}

    Following his public re-entry to the web, blogger Scott Alexander has started a routine series of posts he calls "Metaculus Monday". He's taken the first two of these to review Metaculus on the near future of COVID-19, and longer-term futures of Artificial Intelligence. Perhaps a future post will mention this question!

    Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?

    This question resolves positively if either:

    • the title or question text of this question is mentioned
    • the URL of this question is included

    ...in the text of an Astral Codex Ten post.

    A substack comment will not suffice for a positive resolution, even if that comment is authored by Scott Alexander.

    If the question title or text is present but obscured (such as being incorrectly transcribed), this is sufficient to resolve positively.

    It does not need to be a "Metaculus Monday" post: any post on Astral Codex Ten in 2021 may include positively-resolving content.

    Categories:
    Metaculus Itself

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

    Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.