Question
When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?
Total Forecasters113
Community Prediction
28 Apr 2029
(26 Aug 2026 - Aug 2032)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 26 Aug 2026 | — |
| median | 28 Apr 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2032 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2039 | 4.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021
