Question
When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?
Total Forecasters115
Community Prediction
15 Jun 2029
(10 Oct 2026 - Sep 2032)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 10 Oct 2026 | — |
| median | 15 Jun 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2032 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2039 | 4.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021