26 comments
115 forecasters
When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?
Current estimate
14 Jul 2029
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021
Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?
0.5% chance
79
Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?
40% chance
91
When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
19 Feb 2030
(28 Dec 2027 - Mar 2032)
19 Feb 2030
(28 Dec 2027 - Mar 2032)
660 forecasters