Question

When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?

Total Forecasters113
Community Prediction
06 Jul 2029
(03 Oct 2026 - Oct 2032)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%03 Oct 2026
median06 Jul 2029
upper 75%Oct 2032
Upper bound
>Dec 20394.7%
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021