Question

Will a functional Alcubierre drive-like FTL device be demonstrated before 2100?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction4%

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community: 4%

median 4.0%mean 7.4%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Technology

Outline of space science

Alcubierre drive

Miguel Alcubierre

Einstein field equations

Will the results of the propellantless propulsion drive revealed by Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Propulsion Technologies replicate before July 1, 2025?

Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?

10%

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%

Comments

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Technology

Outline of space science

Alcubierre drive

Miguel Alcubierre

Einstein field equations

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the results of the propellantless propulsion drive revealed by Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Propulsion Technologies replicate before July 1, 2025?

Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?

10%

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%