Question

Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?

Resolved:No

21 comments21

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction

34%

(25% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 34%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

9.8

Community Baseline Score

-16.0

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Feb 19, 2021

Closes:

Mar 8, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

America needs warp speed on vaccines, not RFK Jr.'s warped decision making | Opinion

USA Today•Sep 1, 2025

How Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.,’s Anti-Vax Agenda Is Infecting America

New Yorker•Aug 31, 2025

Who can get updated COVID-19 vaccines in the US now?

Al Jazeera•Aug 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

36%

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?

50%