Question

Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?

Resolved:No

12

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction

34%

(25% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 34%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-16.0

Community Peer Score

9.8

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Feb 19, 2021

Closes:

Mar 8, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2021

Health & Pandemics

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Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Feb 19, 2021

Closes:

Mar 8, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

FDA to offer faster drug reviews to companies promoting ‘national priorities’

Associated Press•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?