Question
When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?
Total Forecasters138
Community Prediction
Sep 2050
(Dec 2036 - 2108)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Dec 2036 | — |
| median | Sep 2050 | — |
| upper 75% | 2108 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2499 | 12.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 20, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2500
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 22, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Mar 20, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2500
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 22, 2021