Question

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

39 comments39

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction2060-05-01

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2499-12-29

...

2039-06-15 01:26

2060-05-01 04:27

2189-09-19 23:12

17.4%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Longevity escape velocity

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02-08

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

43%

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

90%

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